2008 global crash to 2020 COVID: How Nifty 50 plunged up to 59% in crises but rebounded


Indian stock markets have been highly volatile recently, as the escalating war between Iran and Israel-US triggered a selloff that pushed the Nifty down around 8% in just one week. However, the benchmark index is no stranger to such crises and has historically proven resilient to similar shocks.

The National Stock Exchange (NSE) released its white paper titled “Nifty 50 – Thirty Years of India’s Market Evolution” as the benchmark index recently celebrated its 30th anniversary. The stock exchange noted that no index is tested like a benchmark.

“Nifty 50 endured every major shock of the past 30 years, emerging stronger each time,” NSE said, highlighting data from past global crises that rattled markets.

2000–2002: Tech bubble bursts

Around 25 years ago, the roughly five-year dot-com bubble burst, leaving trillions of dollars in investment losses in its wake. Between 1995 and 2000, the S&P 500 nearly tripled while the Nasdaq 100 soared 718%.

However, as the tech bubble driven by extreme enthusiasm around the internet collapsed, more than 80% of Nasdaq’s value was erased and the S&P 500 was almost cut in half by October 2002.


As global markets crashed, Indian equities were no exception. Between 2000 and 2002, the Nifty 50 tumbled roughly 51% peak-to-trough, NSE said.

“Yet by 2005 it had retraced those losses as India’s economy expanded,” it added.

2008: Global financial crisis

Amid booming housing markets since the mid-1990s, mortgage lenders in the US had begun handing out home loans like candy, setting the stage for a massive crash. Lenders increasingly extended loans to “subprime” borrowers those with weak credit profiles and limited ability to repay.

The bankruptcy of investment bank Lehman Brothers in 2008 is widely considered the defining moment of the global financial crisis. The Nifty 50 dropped approximately 59% within months, recording its steepest-ever fall at the time, NSE said.

However, markets once again managed to recover, with the Nifty 50 breaching its previous all-time highs in late 2013.

2020: The COVID-19 crash

As reports of a new virus spreading in China began making headlines in early 2020, few anticipated that the world was heading toward a global lockdown that would trigger a massive economic shock.

In 2020, the Nifty 50 fell about 37% in a matter of weeks, marking one of the fastest declines in its history, NSE said.

“But unprecedented policy support and rising retail participation fueled a V-shaped recovery. By November 2020 the index was back near its old peak, and it nearly doubled its March 2020 level just a year later,” the stock exchange said.

History shows a simple pattern

“These episodes illustrate a simple pattern: losses tend to be temporary for investors who stay the course. As a market strategist notes, selling out after a crash locks in permanent losses, whereas long-term holders recover and compound gains. Indeed, analysis shows the Nifty 50 has never recorded a negative seven-year return period,” NSE said.

This comes as investors remain concerned about the recent sharp selloff in Indian stock markets, as oil prices surged amid rising hostilities between Iran and Israel-US. Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty crashed around 8% last week.

The sharp selloff has wiped out a significant portion of investors’ wealth so far in March.

Over the past three decades, India’s capital markets have undergone a profound transformation, evolving from a fragmented and largely manual ecosystem into one of the world’s most technologically advanced, transparent and accessible market infrastructures, the exchange said.

Since its inception on November 3, 1995, until February 27, 2026, the Nifty 50 Total Return Index (TR) has delivered an annualised return of 12.74%, while the Nifty 50 Price Return Index (PR) has delivered an annualised return of 11.23% in rupee terms.

On a rolling return basis, the Nifty 50 TR Index has not recorded negative returns for any 7-year or 10-year investment horizon over the available history, highlighting its ability to compound wealth across market cycles.



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